# Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 36% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 22 May 2026 19:19:51 GMT. 24h change +2.5pp, 24h volume $203.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-col-ari-2026-05-22
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-col-ari-2026-05-22
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 30, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-22T19:19:51.899Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **36¢** (36%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +2.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $203.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $203.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $125.5K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 30, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for May 22 at 9:40PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **divergence** (confidence 51%): Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -1.0pp vs. 24h +2.5pp.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xd1ed…d7cb` — 58,663.058 shares
- `0x7a88…41cc` — 39,998.939 shares
- `0x6d3c…d294` — 8,409.264 shares
- `0x9703…69c2` — 7,148.912 shares
- `0x21f3…35e3` — 5,872.894 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x99a7…fc82` — 38,207.38 shares
- `0xd81e…e3d0` — 25,461.58 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 11,025.232 shares
- `0xa742…68c5` — 7,999.99 shares
- `0x8b88…8f33` — 7,499.978 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 138 |
| Window start | 2026-05-16T15:00:11.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-22T07:49:03.000Z |
| Range | 31¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -15.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-col-ari-2026-05-22` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks — 36% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-22T19:19:51.899Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-col-ari-2026-05-22.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*