# Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 5% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 18:19:32 GMT. 24h change -33.7pp, 24h volume $328.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-col-pit-2026-05-14
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-col-pit-2026-05-14
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T18:19:32.863Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **5¢** (5%) |
| Δ 1h | -2.7pp |
| Δ 24h | -33.7pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $328.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $339.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $51.6K |
| Spread | 0.40pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 14 at 12:35PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 33.7pp in 24h with 6.4× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 18:18 UTC | `Black-And-White-Summit` | BUY | PITTSBURGH PIRATES | $159.22 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 80,490.3 shares
- `0xcd65…ee96` — 64,102.564 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 18,850.385 shares
- `0xf152…64aa` — 15,836.51 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 14,999.262 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xbddf…c684` — 99,999.763 shares
- `0xabb8…bba3` — 49,999.961 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 19,457.853 shares
- `0x6b8f…449b` — 12,000 shares
- `0x04b9…79e0` — 10,099.988 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 149 |
| Window start | 2026-05-08T14:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T17:47:11.000Z |
| Range | 3¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -47.2pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-col-pit-2026-05-14` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates — 5% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T18:19:32.863Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-col-pit-2026-05-14.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*