# Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 1% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 19:29:07 GMT. 24h change -39.0pp, 24h volume $501.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-det-nym-2026-05-14
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-det-nym-2026-05-14
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T19:29:07.909Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **1¢** (1%) |
| Δ 1h | -43.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -39.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $501.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $507.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $38.6K |
| Spread | 0.80pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 21, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Mets, scheduled for May 14 at 1:10PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 39.0pp in 24h with 13.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 45,552.094 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 26,176.861 shares
- `0x6db5…e279` — 24,484.79 shares
- `0xae0f…f647` — 22,574.099 shares
- `0x3625…1187` — 20,512.821 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe4ea…7f3b` — 26,942.607 shares
- `0xef1b…8697` — 22,216.224 shares
- `0xcd65…ee96` — 19,491.525 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 11,990.945 shares
- `0xd844…da79` — 10,325.98 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 151 |
| Window start | 2026-05-08T14:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T19:28:06.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 76¢ |
| Net change | -50.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-det-nym-2026-05-14` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets — 1% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T19:29:07.909Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-det-nym-2026-05-14.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*