# Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 42% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 22 May 2026 19:19:51 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $334.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-hou-chc-2026-05-22
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-hou-chc-2026-05-22
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-22T19:19:51.113Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **42¢** (42%) |
| Δ 1h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $334.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $335.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $53.8K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 29, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for May 22 at 2:20PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 19:16 UTC | `Spicy-Attention` | SELL | HOUSTON ASTROS | $0.98 |
| May 22, 19:16 UTC | `Dutiful-Indigence` | BUY | HOUSTON ASTROS | $2.05 |
| May 22, 19:16 UTC | `0x6dab…e5c0` | BUY | CHICAGO CUBS | $1.00 |
| May 22, 19:16 UTC | `Waterlogged-Infection-Fatigue` | BUY | HOUSTON ASTROS | $2.15 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5375…aeea` — 34,558 shares
- `0x1e77…8c33` — 30,000 shares
- `0x1467…4372` — 24,443.767 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 19,451.372 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 17,198.155 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5291…d4b6` — 65,912.547 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 17,491.175 shares
- `0x16bb…8492` — 15,808.43 shares
- `0xb45a…192c` — 15,285.527 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 14,622.743 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 150 |
| Window start | 2026-05-16T15:00:13.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-22T19:18:05.000Z |
| Range | 27¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -1.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-hou-chc-2026-05-22` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs — 42% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-22T19:19:51.113Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-hou-chc-2026-05-22.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*