# Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 64% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 15 May 2026 21:45:51 GMT. 24h change -4.5pp, 24h volume $374.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-lad-laa-2026-05-15
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-lad-laa-2026-05-15
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-15T21:45:51.831Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **64¢** (64%) |
| Δ 1h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -4.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $374.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $374.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $543.9K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for May 15 at 9:38PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 59%): Probability moved down 4.5pp in 24h with 0.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf152…64aa` — 63,000 shares
- `0x21f3…35e3` — 24,092.821 shares
- `0x39d3…9ef0` — 18,199.484 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 17,253.749 shares
- `0xc974…b33b` — 14,559.956 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf668…5c69` — 165,721.119 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 12,059.74 shares
- `0x52e3…3337` — 6,913.27 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 3,059.321 shares
- `0x7760…21f0` — 2,639 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 151 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T15:00:20.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-15T21:44:16.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 70¢ |
| Net change | +13.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-lad-laa-2026-05-15` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels — 64% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-15T21:45:51.831Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-lad-laa-2026-05-15.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*