# Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 64% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 03:13:44 GMT. 24h change +4.5pp, 24h volume $59.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-lad-sd-2026-05-20
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-lad-sd-2026-05-20
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T03:13:44.632Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **64¢** (64%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +4.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $59.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $59.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $381.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 28, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres, scheduled for May 20 at 8:40PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf152…64aa` — 22,765.065 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 18,000 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 17,558.7 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 11,909.916 shares
- `0x6b8f…449b` — 11,564 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd48a…6e90` — 18,749.197 shares
- `0x6076…f8fd` — 17,987.728 shares
- `0xf00c…f4fe` — 16,216.216 shares
- `0x9703…69c2` — 13,537.694 shares
- `0x7a88…41cc` — 12,342.453 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 149 |
| Window start | 2026-05-14T14:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T18:38:04.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 64¢ |
| Net change | +13.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-lad-sd-2026-05-20` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres — 64% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T03:13:44.632Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-lad-sd-2026-05-20.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*