# Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 21% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 27 May 2026 18:53:15 GMT. 24h change -31.0pp, 24h volume $241.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-mia-tor-2026-05-27-total-7pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-mia-tor-2026-05-27-total-7pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 27, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-27T18:53:15.718Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **21¢** (21%) |
| Δ 1h | -23.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -31.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $241.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $241.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $14.7K |
| Spread | 5.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 27, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for May 27 at 1:07 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Miami Marlins and Toronto Blue Jays combine to score 8 or more runs in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 18:52 UTC | `Ignorant-Humidity` | BUY | OVER | $90.51 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb91a…3987` — 200,000 shares
- `0xe5ef…9e7a` — 9,999.995 shares
- `0xe1a2…14b8` — 8,200 shares
- `0x2005…75ea` — 1,880.739 shares
- `0xbbf3…aa3a` — 1,692.199 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1e77…8c33` — 55,963.17 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 51,006 shares
- `0xa710…23c4` — 50,000 shares
- `0x9703…69c2` — 11,462.723 shares
- `0xadfa…324e` — 10,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 25 |
| Window start | 2026-05-26T19:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-27T18:30:05.000Z |
| Range | 26¢ → 52¢ |
| Net change | -25.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-mia-tor-2026-05-27-total-7pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 — 21% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-27T18:53:15.718Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-mia-tor-2026-05-27-total-7pt5.
```

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