# New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 97% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 03:51:48 GMT. 24h change +38.5pp, 24h volume $479.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-nym-col-2026-05-06
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-nym-col-2026-05-06
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T03:51:48.286Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **97¢** (97%) |
| Δ 1h | +5.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +38.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $479.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $482.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $34.1K |
| Spread | 1.60pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for May 6 at 3:10PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 38.5pp in 24h with 14.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb45a…192c` — 100,000 shares
- `0x88c4…129a` — 83,606.587 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 24,666.509 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 16,228.086 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 12,158.304 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa8e0…ad50` — 167,685.015 shares
- `0xd3df…82fa` — 43,438.012 shares
- `0x664a…fc5f` — 19,999.333 shares
- `0x7a88…41cc` — 14,443.966 shares
- `0x38c2…d3a7` — 13,516.189 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 158 |
| Window start | 2026-04-30T14:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T03:51:14.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 98¢ |
| Net change | +47.4pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-nym-col-2026-05-06` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies — 97% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T03:51:48.286Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-nym-col-2026-05-06.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*