# Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 20:32:43 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $191.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-oak-bal-2026-05-10-total-10pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-oak-bal-2026-05-10-total-10pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T20:32:43.836Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -14.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $191.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $191.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $249.1K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/scores

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for May 10 at 1:35 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Athletics and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 11 or more runs in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 11, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5268…135d` — 64,779.733 shares
- `0x21f3…35e3` — 11,678.62 shares
- `0xd696…8a49` — 10,517.22 shares
- `0xb3cf…0ebd` — 8,868.34 shares
- `0x6a32…0086` — 5,500 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x4f21…0ec5` — 143,285.911 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 1,915.25 shares
- `0x424e…263b` — 945.927 shares
- `0x435d…c52a` — 609.704 shares
- `0xa20d…eade` — 92.593 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 16 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T06:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T20:31:08.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 48¢ |
| Net change | -44.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-oak-bal-2026-05-10-total-10pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T20:32:43.836Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-oak-bal-2026-05-10-total-10pt5.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*