# Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 39% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 06 May 2026 01:18:18 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $185.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-oak-phi-2026-05-05-total-9pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-oak-phi-2026-05-05-total-9pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-06T01:18:18.494Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **39¢** (39%) |
| Δ 1h | +31.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $185.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $185.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $541.88 |
| Spread | 27.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/scores

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for May 5 at 6:40 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Athletics and Philadelphia Phillies combine to score 10 or more runs in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 10, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 55%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9495…9a27` — 107,307.221 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 28,552.33 shares
- `0x6a32…0086` — 5,000 shares
- `0xcd5a…63f9` — 4,871.133 shares
- `0x78b0…9f1a` — 3,106.304 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x4bff…fc26` — 165,896 shares
- `0x5f08…5afb` — 2,088 shares
- `0xe401…7b88` — 709.368 shares
- `0x424e…263b` — 539.956 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 320.229 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 13 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T14:00:10.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-06T01:16:04.000Z |
| Range | 9¢ → 48¢ |
| Net change | -9.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-oak-phi-2026-05-05-total-9pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 — 39% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-06T01:18:18.494Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-oak-phi-2026-05-05-total-9pt5.
```

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