# Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 17% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 02 May 2026 21:04:29 GMT. 24h change -32.0pp, 24h volume $329.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-phi-mia-2026-05-02
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-phi-mia-2026-05-02
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-02T21:04:29.534Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **17¢** (17%) |
| Δ 1h | -29.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -32.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $329.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $329.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $16.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins, scheduled for May 2 at 4:10PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 151,089.109 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 45,221.753 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 15,242.875 shares
- `0xf152…64aa` — 14,999.999 shares
- `0x0e64…336d` — 14,999.996 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xc807…c12b` — 67,999.853 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 41,429.573 shares
- `0xa8e0…ad50` — 34,224.18 shares
- `0xabb8…bba3` — 28,749.233 shares
- `0x47a8…52f9` — 25,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 152 |
| Window start | 2026-04-26T14:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-02T21:04:07.000Z |
| Range | 18¢ → 68¢ |
| Net change | -26.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-phi-mia-2026-05-02` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins — 17% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-02T21:04:29.534Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-phi-mia-2026-05-02.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*