# Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 40% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 16 May 2026 01:36:14 GMT. 24h change -5.9pp, 24h volume $244.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-phi-pit-2026-05-15
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-phi-pit-2026-05-15
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-16T01:36:14.512Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **40¢** (40%) |
| Δ 1h | +35.3pp |
| Δ 24h | -5.9pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $244.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $244.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $12.6K |
| Spread | 0.30pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 15 at 6:40PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 01:36 UTC | `Gorgeous-Concert` | BUY | PITTSBURGH PIRATES | $7.47 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5375…aeea` — 35,903.81 shares
- `0x2dc1…b33c` — 26,991.03 shares
- `0xce9f…26e8` — 8,400 shares
- `0x9703…69c2` — 5,899.239 shares
- `0x6b44…3992` — 4,929.6 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 31,014.666 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 23,392.347 shares
- `0x4f29…7a7e` — 15,219.063 shares
- `0x7760…21f0` — 5,055.96 shares
- `0x3625…1187` — 4,545.455 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 156 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T14:00:10.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-16T01:36:08.000Z |
| Range | 3¢ → 56¢ |
| Net change | -1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-phi-pit-2026-05-15` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates — 40% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-16T01:36:14.512Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-phi-pit-2026-05-15.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*