# San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 39% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 15 May 2026 02:03:24 GMT. 24h change -0.5pp, 24h volume $488.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-sf-lad-2026-05-14
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-sf-lad-2026-05-14
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-15T02:03:24.898Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **39¢** (39%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -0.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $488.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $493.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $557.9K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for May 14 at 10:10PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Recent large trades on this market

| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 01:59 UTC | `Agitated-Bricklaying` | BUY | SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS | $2.36 |

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xd959…daf7` — 144,947.69 shares
- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 130,138.367 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 38,747.75 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 18,756.888 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 7,500 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xbddf…c684` — 154,999.968 shares
- `0xf152…64aa` — 126,000.001 shares
- `0x3ef7…b7bb` — 21,649.306 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 9,874.45 shares
- `0xa7e8…5c8c` — 7,245.94 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 158 |
| Window start | 2026-05-08T14:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-15T02:02:10.000Z |
| Range | 27¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -12.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-sf-lad-2026-05-14` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers — 39% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-15T02:03:24.898Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-sf-lad-2026-05-14.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*