# Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 56% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 14:25:35 GMT. 24h change +2.5pp, 24h volume $32.6K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-tb-bal-2026-05-25
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-tb-bal-2026-05-25
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T14:25:35.196Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **56¢** (56%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +2.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $32.6K |
| Lifetime volume | $34.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $271.8K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** Jun 1, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for May 25 at 1:35PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 70,630.67 shares
- `0xfa5f…6bfe` — 50,000 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 13,061.916 shares
- `0x032e…2a9e` — 10,000 shares
- `0x3625…1187` — 9,037.567 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb91a…3987` — 176,714 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 25,129.853 shares
- `0xbf11…c679` — 3,184.139 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 1,726.123 shares
- `0xe8c4…395d` — 1,363.986 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 140 |
| Window start | 2026-05-19T14:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T08:27:04.000Z |
| Range | 31¢ → 71¢ |
| Net change | +5.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-tb-bal-2026-05-25` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles — 56% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T14:25:35.196Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-tb-bal-2026-05-25.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*