# Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 32% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 00:11:07 GMT. 24h change -10.5pp, 24h volume $349.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-wsh-cin-2026-05-13
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-wsh-cin-2026-05-13
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T00:11:07.141Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **32¢** (32%) |
| Δ 1h | +25.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -10.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $349.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $350.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $44.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 20, 2026

**Source:** https://www.mlb.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for May 13 at 6:40PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xabb8…bba3` — 36,585.37 shares
- `0x9703…69c2` — 28,947.171 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 17,932.44 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 16,571.943 shares
- `0x04b9…79e0` — 10,140.764 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa710…23c4` — 107,359.215 shares
- `0x6db5…e279` — 19,946.59 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 14,999.815 shares
- `0x842a…7422` — 8,000.01 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 7,752.43 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 154 |
| Window start | 2026-05-07T14:00:18.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T23:00:12.000Z |
| Range | 5¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -45.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=mlb-wsh-cin-2026-05-13` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds — 32% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T00:11:07.141Z from https://orrery.me/markets/mlb-wsh-cin-2026-05-13.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*