# Cavaliers vs. Pistons

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 42% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 04 May 2026 17:52:56 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $233.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-det-2026-05-05
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-det-2026-05-05
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-04T17:52:56.473Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **42¢** (42%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $233.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $233.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $355.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 5 at 7:00PM ET:
> If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 29h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x85f0…3f67` — 100,000 shares
- `0x8c80…02c3` — 82,942.962 shares
- `0xa697…59d5` — 1,097.27 shares
- `0xadfb…c2ef` — 1,000 shares
- `0xc17c…2a2a` — 952.929 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 151,619.667 shares
- `0x6ac5…4b6e` — 34,733.74 shares
- `0x31a9…f88c` — 1,128.864 shares
- `0x986c…3180` — 860.949 shares
- `0xdb6f…2d91` — 669.373 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 14 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T05:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-04T17:51:05.000Z |
| Range | 42¢ → 43¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-cle-det-2026-05-05` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Cavaliers vs. Pistons — 42% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-04T17:52:56.473Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-det-2026-05-05.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*