# Cavaliers vs. Pistons

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 40% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 12:00:05 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $369.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-det-2026-05-07
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-det-2026-05-07
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 7, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T12:00:05.194Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **40¢** (40%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $369.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $377.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.2M |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 7, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 7 at 7:00PM ET:
> If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 11h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x3b4a…8060` — 65,000 shares
- `0xe7e1…ec43` — 29,999.897 shares
- `0xacb2…b989` — 24,999.723 shares
- `0xe16e…c3c7` — 15,805.45 shares
- `0x6ac5…4b6e` — 12,165.148 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 195,013.22 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 26,137.74 shares
- `0x6195…b9e3` — 4,725 shares
- `0xa272…3f31` — 3,084.41 shares
- `0xfb27…b180` — 3,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 80 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T05:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T11:58:05.000Z |
| Range | 38¢ → 55¢ |
| Net change | -10.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-cle-det-2026-05-07` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Cavaliers vs. Pistons — 40% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T12:00:05.194Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-det-2026-05-07.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*