# Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 48% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 22:34:59 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $567.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-det-2026-05-13-spread-home-4pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-det-2026-05-13-spread-home-4pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T22:34:59.208Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **48¢** (48%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $567.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $568.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $640.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 14, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 13 at 8:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 5 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 200,000 shares
- `0xbddf…c684` — 189,154.218 shares
- `0xf284…b9f9` — 44,999.969 shares
- `0x4df3…788f` — 9,478.122 shares
- `0xc181…6e97` — 7,716.667 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xc807…c12b` — 204,369.554 shares
- `0xabb8…bba3` — 100,000 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 73,262.34 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 45,503.68 shares
- `0x09b5…7e72` — 10,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 35 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T11:00:08.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T21:00:15.000Z |
| Range | 48¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-cle-det-2026-05-13-spread-home-4pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Pistons (-4.5) — 48% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T22:34:59.208Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-det-2026-05-13-spread-home-4pt5.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*