# Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 66% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 14 May 2026 02:13:17 GMT. 24h change +15.5pp, 24h volume $254.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-det-2026-05-13-total-212pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-det-2026-05-13-total-212pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-14T02:13:17.171Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **66¢** (66%) |
| Δ 1h | +6.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +15.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $254.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $255.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $31.7K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 13 at 12:00 AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cavaliers and Pistons combine to score 213 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 213, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 15.5pp in 24h with 8.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 31,478.52 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 24,999.908 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 23,176.257 shares
- `0x1103…bb2f` — 7,344.523 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 6,064 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa8e0…ad50` — 45,874.927 shares
- `0xc807…c12b` — 31,172.995 shares
- `0xa710…23c4` — 23,862.805 shares
- `0xf559…f462` — 10,000 shares
- `0xa644…026e` — 8,580 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 48 |
| Window start | 2026-05-12T04:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-14T02:12:07.000Z |
| Range | 45¢ → 65¢ |
| Net change | +11.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-cle-det-2026-05-13-total-212pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5 — 66% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-14T02:13:17.171Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-det-2026-05-13-total-212pt5.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*