# Cavaliers vs. Pistons

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 39% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 12 May 2026 21:41:23 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $197.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-det-2026-05-13
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-det-2026-05-13
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-12T21:41:23.015Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **39¢** (39%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $197.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $208.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $758.5K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 13 at 12:00AM ET:
> If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 6h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x8628…6f0b` — 55,937.048 shares
- `0xacb2…b989` — 24,999.994 shares
- `0x68ca…9f73` — 11,693 shares
- `0x8000…3a21` — 5,000 shares
- `0xe4fc…8af7` — 3,499.961 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xbd14…d62a` — 79,936.514 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 9,999.709 shares
- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 4,707.508 shares
- `0x31e2…98a8` — 4,032 shares
- `0x9797…c193` — 4,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 138 |
| Window start | 2026-05-07T05:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-12T21:40:03.000Z |
| Range | 27¢ → 55¢ |
| Net change | +12.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-cle-det-2026-05-13` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Cavaliers vs. Pistons — 39% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-12T21:41:23.015Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-det-2026-05-13.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*