# Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 49% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 10:39:57 GMT. 24h change +1.0pp, 24h volume $261.1K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-nyk-2026-05-21-spread-home-6pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-nyk-2026-05-21-spread-home-6pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T10:39:57.164Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **49¢** (49%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $261.1K |
| Lifetime volume | $263.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $770.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 21 at 8:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 7 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **divergence** (confidence 55%): Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -1.0pp vs. 24h +1.0pp.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 13h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xdb85…152f` — 69,999.988 shares
- `0xbddf…c684` — 65,813.626 shares
- `0xe5ef…9e7a` — 50,000 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 24,348.11 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 10,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa710…23c4` — 116,390.29 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 45,112.783 shares
- `0xacb2…b989` — 19,999.987 shares
- `0x1e77…8c33` — 19,999.979 shares
- `0x2302…d6d2` — 19,878.173 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 31 |
| Window start | 2026-05-20T04:00:18.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-21T09:51:05.000Z |
| Range | 48¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | +1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-cle-nyk-2026-05-21-spread-home-6pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Knicks (-6.5) — 49% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T10:39:57.164Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-nyk-2026-05-21-spread-home-6pt5.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*