# Cavaliers vs. Knicks

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 32% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 21 May 2026 05:10:54 GMT. 24h change -3.0pp, 24h volume $167.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-nyk-2026-05-21
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-nyk-2026-05-21
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-21T05:10:54.484Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **32¢** (32%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -3.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $167.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $182.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.6M |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 22, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 21 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 19h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5523…51e9` — 35,000 shares
- `0x3eeb…c387` — 29,065.799 shares
- `0x5652…41a4` — 9,000 shares
- `0xecdb…c4c7` — 5,882.353 shares
- `0xa0c3…c5f8` — 5,700.091 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 68,275.79 shares
- `0xbc30…1b31` — 12,998.952 shares
- `0x6853…5846` — 11,649.986 shares
- `0x84db…aeeb` — 9,285.136 shares
- `0xd105…7b2c` — 6,608.681 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 60 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T05:00:18.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T15:16:06.000Z |
| Range | 28¢ → 35¢ |
| Net change | +2.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-cle-nyk-2026-05-21` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Cavaliers vs. Knicks — 32% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-21T05:10:54.484Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-cle-nyk-2026-05-21.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*