# Pistons vs. Cavaliers

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 39% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 03:23:21 GMT. 24h change -1.0pp, 24h volume $509.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-det-cle-2026-05-09
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-det-cle-2026-05-09
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T03:23:21.554Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **39¢** (39%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $509.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $603.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $2.2M |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 9, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 9 at 3:00PM ET:
> If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".
> If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 16h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 234,588.613 shares
- `0xbddf…c684` — 139,999.786 shares
- `0x3eeb…c387` — 71,481.543 shares
- `0xbde5…9c38` — 30,000 shares
- `0x5e6e…be00` — 8,322.577 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd81e…e3d0` — 162,413.13 shares
- `0x709e…66f5` — 97,815 shares
- `0x0c15…9a45` — 70,222.512 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 63,577 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 39,464.504 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 120 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T05:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T03:21:06.000Z |
| Range | 39¢ → 52¢ |
| Net change | -11.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-det-cle-2026-05-09` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Pistons vs. Cavaliers — 39% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T03:23:21.554Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-det-cle-2026-05-09.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*