# Pistons vs. Cavaliers

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 41% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 11 May 2026 06:42:16 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $309.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-det-cle-2026-05-11
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-det-cle-2026-05-11
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-11T06:42:16.343Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **41¢** (41%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $309.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $324.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.2M |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 11 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".
> If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 17h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xbd14…d62a` — 97,560.976 shares
- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 49,999.34 shares
- `0xe5ef…9e7a` — 30,975.61 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 29,068.44 shares
- `0xcf11…8399` — 17,809 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3eeb…c387` — 68,888.027 shares
- `0x3dfb…abaf` — 40,000 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 23,877.94 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 18,607.78 shares
- `0x84db…aeeb` — 11,051.367 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 147 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T05:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-11T06:40:04.000Z |
| Range | 30¢ → 53¢ |
| Net change | -11.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-det-cle-2026-05-11` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Pistons vs. Cavaliers — 41% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-11T06:42:16.343Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-det-cle-2026-05-11.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*