# Pistons vs. Cavaliers

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 39% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 15 May 2026 01:20:23 GMT. 24h change -4.5pp, 24h volume $206.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-det-cle-2026-05-15
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-det-cle-2026-05-15
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 15, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-15T01:20:23.569Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **39¢** (39%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -4.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $206.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $229.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $2.0M |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 15, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 15 at 12:00AM ET:
> If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".
> If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x41f4…3eac` — 43,266.03 shares
- `0x27cb…169e` — 29,845.747 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 11,067.88 shares
- `0x7f1b…e748` — 6,899.894 shares
- `0x90ba…63f3` — 5,150 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xe7a2…ae70` — 60,037.003 shares
- `0x6853…5846` — 9,614 shares
- `0xc947…3462` — 8,064.516 shares
- `0x6195…b9e3` — 4,494.86 shares
- `0x84b8…1193` — 4,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 139 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T08:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-15T01:18:04.000Z |
| Range | 39¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -11.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-det-cle-2026-05-15` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Pistons vs. Cavaliers — 39% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-15T01:20:23.569Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-det-cle-2026-05-15.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*