# Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 52% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 19:24:52 GMT. 24h change +2.0pp, 24h volume $154.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-lal-okc-2026-05-05-total-213pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-lal-okc-2026-05-05-total-213pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T19:24:52.806Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **52¢** (52%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $154.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $158.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $126.8K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 5 at 12:00AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Lakers and Thunder combine to score 214 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 214, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x32cc…68b3` — 77,055.614 shares
- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 29,999.845 shares
- `0x1ba1…1ce4` — 7,499.957 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 4,999.974 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 3,674.4 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd106…c79c` — 23,661.157 shares
- `0x4852…67c4` — 19,702.333 shares
- `0x74cb…afe6` — 11,675.8 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 10,060.84 shares
- `0xb2fe…7558` — 8,604.082 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 82 |
| Window start | 2026-05-02T11:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T19:23:03.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 54¢ |
| Net change | +2.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-lal-okc-2026-05-05-total-213pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5 — 52% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T19:24:52.806Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-lal-okc-2026-05-05-total-213pt5.
```

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