# Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 49% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 21:22:43 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $143.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-lal-okc-2026-05-05-total-214pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-lal-okc-2026-05-05-total-214pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T21:22:43.043Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **49¢** (49%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $143.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $143.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $222.5K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 5 at 8:30 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Lakers and Thunder combine to score 215 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 215, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 45,991.22 shares
- `0x32cc…68b3` — 44,519.972 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 14,934 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 9,999.684 shares
- `0x1f36…2819` — 4,081.635 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa710…23c4` — 73,861.529 shares
- `0x4852…67c4` — 20,132.692 shares
- `0x2302…d6d2` — 10,533.821 shares
- `0x6323…9fee` — 5,854.6 shares
- `0xd100…853d` — 5,234.059 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 16 |
| Window start | 2026-05-05T07:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T21:21:04.000Z |
| Range | 48¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -2.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-lal-okc-2026-05-05-total-214pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5 — 49% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T21:22:43.043Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-lal-okc-2026-05-05-total-214pt5.
```

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