# Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 04:44:32 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $815.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-min-sas-2026-05-04-spread-home-10pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-min-sas-2026-05-04-spread-home-10pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T04:44:32.617Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | -19.4pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $815.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $815.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $604.5K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 5, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 4 at 9:30 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 11 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x4924…3782` — 476,273.584 shares
- `0xc807…c12b` — 129,999.835 shares
- `0x2302…d6d2` — 28,846.154 shares
- `0x418d…88a3` — 20,021.098 shares
- `0xd100…853d` — 14,423.077 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2a2c…9bc1` — 292,354.082 shares
- `0x0767…36b0` — 229,805.715 shares
- `0x3de4…b032` — 53,969 shares
- `0x84cb…28ad` — 37,428.146 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 22,154 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 10 |
| Window start | 2026-05-04T20:00:10.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T04:44:07.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 54¢ |
| Net change | -46.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-min-sas-2026-05-04-spread-home-10pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Spurs (-10.5) — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T04:44:32.617Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-min-sas-2026-05-04-spread-home-10pt5.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*