# Spread: Spurs (-13.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 51% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 03 May 2026 04:30:56 GMT. 24h change +0.5pp, 24h volume $110.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-min-sas-2026-05-04-spread-home-13pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-min-sas-2026-05-04-spread-home-13pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-03T04:30:56.675Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **51¢** (51%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $110.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $110.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $28.0K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 4, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 4 at 12:00 AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 14 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 23h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xd696…8a49` — 100,659.32 shares
- `0x6323…9fee` — 5,592 shares
- `0xd70b…dcb1` — 1,444.29 shares
- `0xa4d3…4b1f` — 110 shares
- `0x2a34…56cf` — 77.91 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x85f0…3f67` — 100,000 shares
- `0xaca2…b9a1` — 5,999.991 shares
- `0xa697…59d5` — 1,400 shares
- `0xcf73…0215` — 216.945 shares
- `0x2d6a…8add` — 114.309 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 37 |
| Window start | 2026-05-01T16:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-03T04:29:05.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 57¢ |
| Net change | -2.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-min-sas-2026-05-04-spread-home-13pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Spurs (-13.5) — 51% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-03T04:30:56.675Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-min-sas-2026-05-04-spread-home-13pt5.
```

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