# Timberwolves vs. Spurs

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 25% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 05 May 2026 16:20:12 GMT. 24h change +4.0pp, 24h volume $164.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-min-sas-2026-05-06
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-min-sas-2026-05-06
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-05T16:20:12.517Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **25¢** (25%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +4.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $164.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $180.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $267.4K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 6, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 6 at 12:00AM ET:
> If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".
> If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 12h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb3cf…0ebd` — 26,006.045 shares
- `0xa87d…e4bf` — 22,000 shares
- `0x04b9…79e0` — 20,000 shares
- `0xe4fc…8af7` — 6,000 shares
- `0x60ba…3c6c` — 5,999.93 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x27f7…44b0` — 74,169 shares
- `0xfea3…d227` — 39,665.9 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 2,051 shares
- `0x10fb…c66c` — 1,999.995 shares
- `0x35f8…9696` — 1,022.368 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 102 |
| Window start | 2026-05-01T11:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-05T16:18:06.000Z |
| Range | 14¢ → 50¢ |
| Net change | -25.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-min-sas-2026-05-06` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Timberwolves vs. Spurs — 25% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-05T16:20:12.517Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-min-sas-2026-05-06.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*