# Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 03:21:10 GMT. 24h change +46.5pp, 24h volume $383.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-min-sas-2026-05-12-total-217pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-min-sas-2026-05-12-total-217pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T03:21:10.601Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +39.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +46.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $383.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $403.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.0M |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 12 at 12:00 AM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Timberwolves and Spurs combine to score 218 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 218, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 75%): Probability moved up 46.5pp in 24h with 0.4× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 65%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9495…9a27` — 69,206.351 shares
- `0x3b5a…bb9b` — 29,114.22 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 22,267.056 shares
- `0x4c0a…a9be` — 22,000 shares
- `0xe1a2…14b8` — 15,907.07 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa8e0…ad50` — 100,492.46 shares
- `0xd202…8973` — 29,185 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 15,643.158 shares
- `0xe5ef…9e7a` — 14,999.932 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 8,249.843 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 49 |
| Window start | 2026-05-11T04:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T03:21:05.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +51.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-min-sas-2026-05-12-total-217pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T03:21:10.601Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-min-sas-2026-05-12-total-217pt5.
```

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