# Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 40% implied probability of YES as of Wed, 13 May 2026 01:55:53 GMT. 24h change -11.0pp, 24h volume $433.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-min-sas-2026-05-12-total-218pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-min-sas-2026-05-12-total-218pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-13T01:55:53.949Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **40¢** (40%) |
| Δ 1h | -37.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -11.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $433.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $438.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $26.8K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 13, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 12 at 8:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Timberwolves and Spurs combine to score 219 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 219, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 11.0pp in 24h with 16.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x6ade…f5b0` — 120,158.11 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 33,256.771 shares
- `0xd81e…e3d0` — 20,647.82 shares
- `0xc408…c1ef` — 19,629.53 shares
- `0x3b5a…bb9b` — 15,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa8e0…ad50` — 130,396.61 shares
- `0xc807…c12b` — 99,999.487 shares
- `0x4d6e…5cfd` — 27,154.11 shares
- `0x1e77…8c33` — 9,837.921 shares
- `0xde25…c0a5` — 7,098.95 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 35 |
| Window start | 2026-05-11T16:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-13T01:54:07.000Z |
| Range | 46¢ → 69¢ |
| Net change | -5.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-min-sas-2026-05-12-total-218pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 — 40% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-13T01:55:53.949Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-min-sas-2026-05-12-total-218pt5.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*