# Timberwolves vs. Spurs

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 23% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 11 May 2026 21:00:07 GMT. 24h change -2.5pp, 24h volume $331.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-min-sas-2026-05-12
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-min-sas-2026-05-12
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-11T21:00:07.996Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **23¢** (23%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $331.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $344.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $379.5K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 12 at 12:00AM ET:
> If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".
> If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 7h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x966c…9b1a` — 41,666 shares
- `0x853e…0d8c` — 33,000.003 shares
- `0x8436…4c19` — 8,600 shares
- `0x94d7…bef5` — 8,333.333 shares
- `0xd052…19f3` — 7,200 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xb3cf…0ebd` — 30,471.688 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 23,627.33 shares
- `0x5523…51e9` — 22,100.83 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 14,731.03 shares
- `0x854a…5e9e` — 10,162.338 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 137 |
| Window start | 2026-05-06T05:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-11T20:59:05.000Z |
| Range | 17¢ → 47¢ |
| Net change | +5.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-min-sas-2026-05-12` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Timberwolves vs. Spurs — 23% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-11T21:00:07.996Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-min-sas-2026-05-12.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*