# Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 55% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 01:54:59 GMT. 24h change +1.0pp, 24h volume $96.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-23-spread-home-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-23-spread-home-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T01:54:59.203Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **55¢** (55%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $96.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $96.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $223.3K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 23 at 8:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 2 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x9495…9a27` — 226,168.007 shares
- `0x032e…2a9e` — 5,000 shares
- `0xdb15…8393` — 4,446.952 shares
- `0xfe78…0319` — 4,179.282 shares
- `0xe169…4653` — 2,971.19 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xbddf…c684` — 200,543.522 shares
- `0xf284…b9f9` — 15,457.854 shares
- `0x4df3…788f` — 9,233.765 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 5,668.893 shares
- `0xc920…7914` — 4,790.756 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 40 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T04:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T18:52:04.000Z |
| Range | 53¢ → 55¢ |
| Net change | +0.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-23-spread-home-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) — 55% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T01:54:59.203Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-23-spread-home-1pt5.
```

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