# Knicks vs. Cavaliers

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 46% implied probability of YES as of Fri, 22 May 2026 23:03:24 GMT. 24h change -10.5pp, 24h volume $1.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-23
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-23
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-22T23:03:24.899Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **46¢** (46%) |
| Δ 1h | -4.5pp |
| Δ 24h | -10.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $1.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $1.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $59.6K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 24, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 23 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks".
> If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 70%): Probability moved down 10.5pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 25h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xdb85…152f` — 109,695.84 shares
- `0x41f4…3eac` — 37,612.07 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 14,893.9 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 10,707 shares
- `0xd105…7b2c` — 6,399.348 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x1e77…8c33` — 29,999.99 shares
- `0xb3cf…0ebd` — 20,000 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 15,000 shares
- `0xa0c3…c5f8` — 11,485.959 shares
- `0x21f3…35e3` — 11,243.834 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 47 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T05:00:19.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-20T02:06:17.000Z |
| Range | 46¢ → 62¢ |
| Net change | -16.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-23` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Knicks vs. Cavaliers — 46% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-22T23:03:24.899Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-23.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*