# Spread: Knicks (-12.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 94% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 26 May 2026 02:23:28 GMT. 24h change +71.0pp, 24h volume $396.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-12pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-12pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-26T02:23:28.917Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **94¢** (94%) |
| Δ 1h | +7.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +71.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $396.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $396.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $33.6K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 25 at 8:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 13 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 71.0pp in 24h with 11.8× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xfe78…0319` — 74,735.823 shares
- `0x7634…600d` — 59,999.956 shares
- `0x2c33…0563` — 49,998.99 shares
- `0x1136…0c2e` — 29,999.99 shares
- `0x1bc0…4429` — 20,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xf28e…cab2` — 108,906.644 shares
- `0xfea3…d227` — 94,859.818 shares
- `0x84cb…28ad` — 31,250.781 shares
- `0xbe7e…6d00` — 17,933.52 shares
- `0x2b46…684d` — 16,068.76 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 27 |
| Window start | 2026-05-25T01:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-26T02:03:04.000Z |
| Range | 22¢ → 95¢ |
| Net change | +72.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-12pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Knicks (-12.5) — 94% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-26T02:23:28.917Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-12pt5.
```

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