# Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 93% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 26 May 2026 01:44:02 GMT. 24h change +39.5pp, 24h volume $262.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-26T01:44:02.365Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **93¢** (93%) |
| Δ 1h | +29.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +39.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $262.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $264.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $39.8K |
| Spread | 1.80pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 25 at 8:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 2 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 39.5pp in 24h with 6.6× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x5375…aeea` — 77,686 shares
- `0x6832…831f` — 22,896.63 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 15,459.109 shares
- `0xbddf…c684` — 12,854.296 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 8,711.479 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2d7b…e2ce` — 113,599.847 shares
- `0xb915…8da5` — 25,471.45 shares
- `0x70d8…a237` — 14,999.959 shares
- `0xc660…bd28` — 14,552.84 shares
- `0x5054…0aaf` — 5,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 47 |
| Window start | 2026-05-24T04:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-26T01:39:04.000Z |
| Range | 52¢ → 96¢ |
| Net change | +42.3pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Knicks (-1.5) — 93% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-26T01:44:02.365Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-1pt5.
```

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