# Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 50% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 19:35:21 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $14.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-2pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-2pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T19:35:21.678Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **50¢** (50%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $14.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $14.4K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $28.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 25 at 8:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 3 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 4h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 149,954.57 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 16,127.293 shares
- `0x032e…2a9e` — 10,000 shares
- `0xc974…b33b` — 9,350 shares
- `0xca28…49de` — 8,249 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x2d7b…e2ce` — 101,826.85 shares
- `0xa710…23c4` — 64,830.815 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 34,832.257 shares
- `0xb915…8da5` — 20,067.77 shares
- `0xf421…cff4` — 9,995.06 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 41 |
| Window start | 2026-05-24T04:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T19:34:04.000Z |
| Range | 48¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-2pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Knicks (-2.5) — 50% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T19:35:21.678Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-2pt5.
```

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