# Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 38% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 26 May 2026 03:22:27 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $78.5K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-6pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-6pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-26T03:22:27.593Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **38¢** (38%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $78.5K |
| Lifetime volume | $78.5K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $45.9K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 25 at 8:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 7 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x032e…2a9e` — 10,000 shares
- `0x479e…91c3` — 5,494.594 shares
- `0xd218…b5c9` — 4,787.457 shares
- `0xa676…a4c5` — 3,625.13 shares
- `0xe4ad…795c` — 893.071 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x84cb…28ad` — 42,969.259 shares
- `0x1eaf…9bf0` — 22,000 shares
- `0x6a32…0086` — 10,000 shares
- `0x4df3…788f` — 6,356.284 shares
- `0x35a6…cb8f` — 3,000 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 24 |
| Window start | 2026-05-25T01:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T23:05:04.000Z |
| Range | 38¢ → 40¢ |
| Net change | +0.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-6pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Knicks (-6.5) — 38% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-26T03:22:27.593Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-6pt5.
```

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