# Spread: Knicks (-9.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 30% implied probability of YES as of Tue, 26 May 2026 02:22:42 GMT. 24h change +0.0pp, 24h volume $167.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-9pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-9pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-26T02:22:42.796Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **30¢** (30%) |
| Δ 1h | +1.5pp |
| Δ 24h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $167.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $167.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $66.6K |
| Spread | 2.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 25 at 8:00 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 10 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x462d…ce9b` — 32,270.212 shares
- `0x204e…8d08` — 31,146.16 shares
- `0xde04…fa37` — 24,675.22 shares
- `0xdd5e…9040` — 19,999 shares
- `0x204f…5e14` — 12,605.412 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfea3…d227` — 108,072.29 shares
- `0x2c33…0563` — 28,941.67 shares
- `0x39d3…9ef0` — 11,348.988 shares
- `0x9267…0f9a` — 8,000 shares
- `0xf658…655e` — 6,079.959 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 24 |
| Window start | 2026-05-25T01:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T23:58:04.000Z |
| Range | 28¢ → 32¢ |
| Net change | +1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-9pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Knicks (-9.5) — 30% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-26T02:22:42.796Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25-spread-away-9pt5.
```

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