# Knicks vs. Cavaliers

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 56% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 25 May 2026 07:26:21 GMT. 24h change +6.5pp, 24h volume $100.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-25T07:26:21.456Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **56¢** (56%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +6.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $100.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $125.8K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $129.0K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 26, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 25 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks".
> If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 17h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 41,616.527 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 31,352 shares
- `0x418d…88a3` — 29,999.955 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 26,779.4 shares
- `0xf559…f462` — 17,661.443 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xd123…d341` — 49,958 shares
- `0xbde5…9c38` — 29,999.62 shares
- `0x6d3c…d294` — 14,267.756 shares
- `0xb820…cbe7` — 13,999.92 shares
- `0x86b4…c1ff` — 11,999.93 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 148 |
| Window start | 2026-05-19T05:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-25T07:26:03.000Z |
| Range | 48¢ → 75¢ |
| Net change | -18.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Knicks vs. Cavaliers — 56% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-25T07:26:21.456Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-cle-2026-05-25.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*