# Knicks vs. 76ers

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 50% implied probability of YES as of Thu, 07 May 2026 19:22:03 GMT. 24h change -15.0pp, 24h volume $674.2K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-phi-2026-05-08
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-nyk-phi-2026-05-08
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 8, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-07T19:22:03.643Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **50¢** (50%) |
| Δ 1h | -1.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -15.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $674.2K |
| Lifetime volume | $677.9K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $229.2K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 8, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 8 at 7:00PM ET:
> If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks".
> If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved down 15.0pp in 24h with 2.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 28h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x8c80…02c3` — 500,000 shares
- `0x3eeb…c387` — 39,999.987 shares
- `0x92fe…99bd` — 7,000 shares
- `0xa0c3…c5f8` — 6,500 shares
- `0x8000…3a21` — 5,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x777d…5143` — 187,071.6 shares
- `0xe7a2…ae70` — 70,000 shares
- `0xb583…b0b3` — 49,306.84 shares
- `0x0940…3640` — 47,322 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 46,139 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 112 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T05:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-07T19:21:04.000Z |
| Range | 47¢ → 70¢ |
| Net change | -0.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-nyk-phi-2026-05-08` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Knicks vs. 76ers — 50% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-07T19:22:03.643Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-phi-2026-05-08.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*