# Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 100% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 22:08:59 GMT. 24h change +50.4pp, 24h volume $301.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-phi-2026-05-10-spread-away-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-nyk-phi-2026-05-10-spread-away-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T22:08:59.838Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **100¢** (100%) |
| Δ 1h | +4.9pp |
| Δ 24h | +50.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $301.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $301.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $350.0K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 10 at 3:30 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 2 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 81%): Probability moved up 50.4pp in 24h with 0.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc807…c12b` — 38,982.467 shares
- `0x161e…6ef0` — 31,766.48 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 30,089.59 shares
- `0x93ab…9723` — 17,195.894 shares
- `0xd48a…6e90` — 14,588.724 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x3dfb…abaf` — 30,000 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 26,437.125 shares
- `0x4852…67c4` — 23,085.714 shares
- `0x4df3…788f` — 9,356.076 shares
- `0x80ba…2e78` — 8,830.797 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 36 |
| Window start | 2026-05-09T12:00:09.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T22:08:11.000Z |
| Range | 50¢ → 100¢ |
| Net change | +49.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-nyk-phi-2026-05-10-spread-away-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Knicks (-1.5) — 100% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T22:08:59.838Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-nyk-phi-2026-05-10-spread-away-1pt5.
```

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