# Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 0% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 10 May 2026 06:30:15 GMT. 24h change -63.4pp, 24h volume $162.7K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-lal-2026-05-09-1h-moneyline
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-lal-2026-05-09-1h-moneyline
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-10T06:30:15.112Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **0¢** (0%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -63.4pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $162.7K |
| Lifetime volume | $162.7K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $380.8K |
| Spread | 0.10pp |
| UMA status | `proposed` |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

**UMA status:** `proposed` — verify before treating moves as new information.

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the first half of the NBA game between Thunder and Lakers, scheduled for May 9 at 8:30 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder are winning at halftime.
> 
> This market will resolve to "Lakers" if the Lakers are winning at halftime.
> 
> If the score is tied at halftime, this market will resolve 50-50.
> 
> The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only.
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 70%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xec45…6c6d` — 149,999.997 shares
- `0x678b…24a4` — 2,837.565 shares
- `0xd3d3…bb8e` — 1,433.971 shares
- `0x951f…e430` — 475.79 shares
- `0x1d60…453d` — 225 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfc25…1f7f` — 139,007.2 shares
- `0x13f0…a50f` — 4,498 shares
- `0xb595…5922` — 3,000 shares
- `0xa16a…33a1` — 1,509.87 shares
- `0xee0b…e6d4` — 1,115.421 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 50 |
| Window start | 2026-05-08T06:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-10T06:29:18.000Z |
| Range | 0¢ → 79¢ |
| Net change | -50.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-okc-lal-2026-05-09-1h-moneyline` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline — 0% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-10T06:30:15.112Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-lal-2026-05-09-1h-moneyline.
```

---

*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*