# Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 49% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 23:04:38 GMT. 24h change -3.0pp, 24h volume $270.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-lal-2026-05-09-total-211pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-lal-2026-05-09-total-211pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T23:04:38.438Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **49¢** (49%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -3.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $270.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $271.6K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $103.5K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 9 at 8:30 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Thunder and Lakers combine to score 212 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 212, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 1h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xb652…2db4` — 80,360.59 shares
- `0xe7e1…ec43` — 50,000 shares
- `0xc408…c1ef` — 32,973.57 shares
- `0x1117…3532` — 10,756.152 shares
- `0xacb2…b989` — 10,000 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5268…135d` — 56,901.468 shares
- `0xd81e…e3d0` — 20,304.56 shares
- `0x7425…e361` — 18,014 shares
- `0xd106…c79c` — 15,713.517 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 12,740 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 43 |
| Window start | 2026-05-08T06:00:03.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T23:02:03.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 53¢ |
| Net change | -3.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-okc-lal-2026-05-09-total-211pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5 — 49% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T23:04:38.438Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-lal-2026-05-09-total-211pt5.
```

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