# Thunder vs. Lakers

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 77% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 09 May 2026 03:24:53 GMT. 24h change -3.0pp, 24h volume $184.8K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-lal-2026-05-09
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-lal-2026-05-09
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-09T03:24:53.715Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **77¢** (77%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -3.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $184.8K |
| Lifetime volume | $195.1K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $1.3M |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 10, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 9 at 8:30PM ET:
> If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder".
> If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 21h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x6ac5…4b6e` — 96,882.198 shares
- `0x5523…51e9` — 27,499.907 shares
- `0xa144…565f` — 4,909.091 shares
- `0x31e2…98a8` — 3,245.996 shares
- `0x1520…378f` — 2,800 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x5375…aeea` — 43,293 shares
- `0x9267…0f9a` — 23,467.166 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 18,179.45 shares
- `0x17cd…7423` — 6,823.478 shares
- `0xe4fc…8af7` — 5,999.909 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 144 |
| Window start | 2026-05-03T05:00:06.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-09T03:24:05.000Z |
| Range | 44¢ → 80¢ |
| Net change | +33.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-okc-lal-2026-05-09` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Thunder vs. Lakers — 77% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-09T03:24:53.715Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-lal-2026-05-09.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*