# Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 50% implied probability of YES as of Mon, 11 May 2026 23:07:23 GMT. 24h change +1.0pp, 24h volume $311.4K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-lal-2026-05-11-total-214pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-lal-2026-05-11-total-214pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-11T23:07:23.263Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **50¢** (50%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +1.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $311.4K |
| Lifetime volume | $320.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $235.1K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 12, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 11 at 10:30 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Thunder and Lakers combine to score 215 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 215, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Expires in 3h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xc408…c1ef` — 43,872.96 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 20,806.531 shares
- `0xc44f…d49f` — 17,390.95 shares
- `0x4df3…788f` — 13,144 shares
- `0xc787…64e8` — 13,065 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xa2cc…0cbc` — 162,957.843 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 67,842.52 shares
- `0x8e8c…65dd` — 11,999.966 shares
- `0xa697…59d5` — 3,267.374 shares
- `0x16ea…9400` — 1,249.504 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 41 |
| Window start | 2026-05-10T08:00:05.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-11T23:07:04.000Z |
| Range | 49¢ → 51¢ |
| Net change | -1.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-okc-lal-2026-05-11-total-214pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5 — 50% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-11T23:07:23.263Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-lal-2026-05-11-total-214pt5.
```

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