# Spread: Spurs (-1.5)

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 75% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 01:45:10 GMT. 24h change +23.0pp, 24h volume $327.0K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-22-spread-home-1pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-22-spread-home-1pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T01:45:10.721Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **75¢** (75%) |
| Δ 1h | +22.0pp |
| Δ 24h | +23.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $327.0K |
| Lifetime volume | $328.2K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $36.0K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 22 at 8:30 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 2 or more points.
> 
> Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Thunder".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 95%): Probability moved up 23.0pp in 24h with 9.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xa5ea…d96a` — 89,690.86 shares
- `0x5375…aeea` — 47,675 shares
- `0xbddf…c684` — 30,642.727 shares
- `0x27f7…44b0` — 18,923 shares
- `0xca28…49de` — 10,791 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0xfbf3…b218` — 99,215.47 shares
- `0xd202…8973` — 28,401.778 shares
- `0x4df3…788f` — 18,889.478 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 17,980.369 shares
- `0x72bc…902c` — 16,289.796 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 46 |
| Window start | 2026-05-21T04:00:07.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T00:57:04.000Z |
| Range | 52¢ → 59¢ |
| Net change | +7.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-okc-sas-2026-05-22-spread-home-1pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Spread: Spurs (-1.5) — 75% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T01:45:10.721Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-22-spread-home-1pt5.
```

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