# Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 38% implied probability of YES as of Sat, 23 May 2026 02:38:55 GMT. 24h change -8.5pp, 24h volume $375.3K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-22-total-219pt5
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-22-total-219pt5
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-23T02:38:55.607Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **38¢** (38%) |
| Δ 1h | -17.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -8.5pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $375.3K |
| Lifetime volume | $375.3K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $26.4K |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 23, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 22 at 8:30 PM ET:
> 
> This market will resolve to "Over" if the Thunder and Spurs combine to score 220 or more points in this game.
> 
> If the combined total is less than 220, this market will resolve to "Under".
> 
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **momentum** (confidence 90%): Probability moved down 8.5pp in 24h with 14.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- **resolution_risk** (confidence 40%): Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0xf28e…cab2` — 48,399.7 shares
- `0x2c33…0563` — 44,748.79 shares
- `0x67bb…b6ef` — 19,999.997 shares
- `0x84cf…2f63` — 19,604.72 shares
- `0x5268…135d` — 11,958.987 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x6ade…f5b0` — 71,152.67 shares
- `0x9495…9a27` — 54,501.262 shares
- `0xfea3…d227` — 25,263.768 shares
- `0xf559…f462` — 11,796.367 shares
- `0xf284…b9f9` — 7,776.961 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 26 |
| Window start | 2026-05-22T02:00:04.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-23T02:18:04.000Z |
| Range | 46¢ → 65¢ |
| Net change | +18.5pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-okc-sas-2026-05-22-total-219pt5` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 — 38% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-23T02:38:55.607Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-22-total-219pt5.
```

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