# Thunder vs. Spurs

> Polymarket binary prediction market. 45% implied probability of YES as of Sun, 24 May 2026 07:53:00 GMT. 24h change -2.0pp, 24h volume $187.9K.

**Canonical URL:** https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-24
**Polymarket source:** https://polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-24
**Category:** Sports
**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026
**Last fetched:** 2026-05-24T07:53:00.825Z

## Live snapshot

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| YES probability | **45¢** (45%) |
| Δ 1h | +0.0pp |
| Δ 24h | -2.0pp |
| Δ 1w | +0.0pp |
| 24h volume | $187.9K |
| Lifetime volume | $290.0K |
| Liquidity (orderbook depth) | $2.6M |
| Spread | 1.00pp |

## Resolution

**Resolves by:** May 25, 2026

**Source:** https://www.nba.com/

### Market description (verbatim from Polymarket)

> In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 24 at 8:00PM ET:
> If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder".
> If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".
> If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
> If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
> The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

## Active signals

Signals are deterministic rules with explicit confidence (0..1). They describe *why a price moved* — they are not trade recommendations and do not predict the outcome.

- **resolution_risk** (confidence 45%): Expires in 16h.

## Top holders

**Top YES holders**

- `0x1117…3532` — 14,999.83 shares
- `0x92fe…99bd` — 13,166.974 shares
- `0xbd14…d62a` — 11,111.111 shares
- `0x63cf…8cf4` — 9,999.989 shares
- `0x7f1b…e748` — 9,499.894 shares

**Top NO holders**

- `0x84cf…2f63` — 38,005.27 shares
- `0xbddf…c684` — 22,200.01 shares
- `0x60ca…25d3` — 12,004.863 shares
- `0xd2b5…b7b3` — 11,111.111 shares
- `0x54b5…4b31` — 9,923.319 shares

## 7-day price-history summary

| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Sample count | 148 |
| Window start | 2026-05-18T05:00:20.000Z |
| Window end | 2026-05-24T07:52:03.000Z |
| Range | 41¢ → 71¢ |
| Net change | -25.0pp |

Full series available as JSON via `GET https://orrery.me/api/markets?slugs=nba-okc-sas-2026-05-24` — the chart on the human page is rendered from this same data.

## Cite this

```
Orrery. "Thunder vs. Spurs — 45% on Polymarket."
Retrieved 2026-05-24T07:53:00.825Z from https://orrery.me/markets/nba-okc-sas-2026-05-24.
```

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*Orrery is a public, read-only intelligence terminal for prediction markets. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Not investment, legal, or tax advice. Numbers are fetched live; citation timestamp matters. See <https://orrery.me/disclaimer>.*